Archive for March, 2008

Is the Auction Sale Better for Buyer or Seller?

The ads read “Lender Foreclosure Home Auction  1000+ homes must be sold!”. The hype is extensive, the publicity broad. The auctioneer company, headquartered in Irvine, California will hold auctions throughout California in the next 3 weeks. It also holds auctions in other states.

I am registered as the broker to attend the April 6th auction with a buyer. This will be my very first real estate auction.   I am an expert in  properties, my client is an experienced purchaser at auctions.  We both approach the event from different positions.  He hopes to buy several properties at a very good price and value.  I expect to help with the real estate side, while learning about the auction process.

This week we toured the properties that he might bid on.  I looked for potential problems with the properties, reviewed expected rents, reviewed history of the property values, delineated expenses (Mellos Roos taxes, bonds, assessments, association dues, extra maintenance). He calculated the maximum he would be willing to pay at the auction, taking into consideration potential income, the loans and closing costs needed, plus the extra 5% buyer’s premium that will be added to the purchase price.

Besides the website there is a 1/2 inch thick booklet describing the properties and auction procedure.  The starting bid is often described as 1/3 the previous value.  It is much lower than the price the property was previously offered at through the multiple listing service.

Will the bidders be able to obtain a bargain? Or, will the sellers benefit from the hype and sell the properties for a higher price? I am anxious to find out.  As I read the fine print of the auction rules, I discovered that the sellers all have an “undisclosed reserve”, and that they can bid against buyers up to that amount. (Does that mean that the lenders will bid against the potential buyers until they reach the price they want?) Again, I am anxious to find out.

The auction should be exciting and interesting.  I envision hundreds (thousands?) of people, each with the required cashier’s checks and lender approval letters in hand fighting to buy the 460+ properties to be sold that Sunday.  If the properties all sell, with the 30 day mandatory maximum  escrow period, our statistics on closed sales should be very favorable by mid May. Then we will be able to see whether the benefits were better for buyer, or seller, or maybe for all of us since there will be 460 less homes for sale.

Financial Strategy in a Low Interest, High Inflation World

This week the Federal Reserve lowered the rate they charge banks to borrow overnight funds.  This action  may increase inflation and drop the value of the dollar in relation to other world currencies.

As inflation dilutes the value of your money, resulting in more money to buy less goods and services, what options do we have? In other words, where should we put our money?

Bank? with interest rates low (1-2%), and 3-4% inflation, you lose money

Stocks? Increased cost of goods and services may hurt the profits of the companies on the stock market and the reduce the value of your stock.

Treasury Bills? same as the bank

Gold, commodities, jewels-Do you store the actual objects or obtain certificates? Will there be a future market to liquidate?

Toys: cars, boats, planes, TV’s, etc.  Do these depreciate in value the moment you purchase them? Are there costs to maintain, use, store, insure?

Real Estate? Probably so. 

I contend that the first place for your money is your own home with a low interest rate loan (currently 5.75%-6.75%) fixed for 5-10 years. After this, you should diversify your portfolio with all of the above

Why?

a) You will pay your loan back with lower valued money. We still have historically low mortgage rates.  And our government has shown us that is is sensible to pay back debt with inflated money (as governments have done to repay debts from wars)

b)Cost of goods and services will go up.  Currently there is a drop in the number of homes being built. New homes will be built with higher costs. Your property value will probably go up over time compared with new homes.

c) Tax deductions of your mortage interest and property taxes will increase your net income.  Renters will also be paying more for gas and groceries but without the tax advantages of home ownership.

So, there is a short window of time with the rising inflation, low interest rate scenario (since the bailout this week traded Treasury bills for non performing sub-prime mortgage backed securities, won’t interest rates need to rise to prevent a massive sell-off of treasury bills?), rather than watch prices and wait, this is the time to buy.

Rates are low, choices are extensive. It is financially beneficial to buy your first home or move up to a much more valuable one this year!

The Desire for Home Ownership is Worldwide

I just returned from the RE/MAX International convention.  As the only delegate from Newport Beach, California, I feel privileged to be a part of an elite group from more than 58 countries. Working beside agents from places as diverse as Slovakia and Slovenia, Ireland and Dubai, Singapore and Grenada, I was again reminded of the universality of home ownership,  entreprenuership, and a willingness to learn and grow.

We grew with sessions on the economy from Carter Murdoch of Bank of America and Jeff Thredgold, on technology and social networking, risk protection for our clients, buyer brokerage, auctions, short sales and luxury home marketing.

A particular personal highlight was a hour with one of my mentors, Marcus Buckingham.  His studies with the Gallup Group and his tests and books help us to discover our strengths and use them.